Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Lucas Raymond vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78.

Raymond had 76 points in 80 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Raymond has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Raymond's 2.0.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Raymond's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.073, Transition attempts /60 1.93.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 681, Scoring chances 59.3%, High-danger chances 54.8%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Lucas Raymond

1.78

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRaymondMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.591.49
Assists (+1)0.600.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.46
Hits (+0.1)0.060.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Raymond vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RaymondMacKinnon
2Team record in 9 meetings7
3Points in those games19

Raymond 2G 1A, 19 SOG · MacKinnon 9G 10A, 45 SOG

0Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other1

Raymond blocked 1 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Raymond's.

On the ice against each other (Raymond's side)

19:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Raymond's side

Shot attempts
20–16
55.6%
Expected goals
1.3–0.9
57.3%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Lucas Raymond and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreRaymondMacKinnon
2026-02-02DET 2–0 COL1G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2026-01-31DET 0–5 COL0G 0A 3S2G 1A 4S
2025-03-25DET 2–5 COL0G 0A 4S1G 1A 1S
2024-12-07DET 1–2 COL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-06DET 2–7 COL0G 0A 0S1G 3A 8S
2024-02-22DET 2–1 COL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 11S
2023-03-18DET 1–5 COL0G 0A 2S1G 2A 3S
2023-01-16DET 3–6 COL0G 0A 1S2G 2A 5S
2021-12-10DET 3–7 COL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RaymondMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Lucas Raymond

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Lucas Raymond or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78. Raymond had 76 points in 80 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Lucas Raymond or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Raymond and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Raymond's team went 2–7. Raymond had 3 points (2 goals) and MacKinnon had 19 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →