Who to start · 2025-26
Macklin Celebrini vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Celebrini has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Hardest shot 97.9, Ascension score 62.
Harley's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, High-danger chances 51.0%, Top skating speed 22.1.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Macklin Celebrini
3.00
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.
| Points per game from | Celebrini | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.99 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Celebrini 0G 6A, 16 SOG · Harley 1G 2A, 5 SOG
On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)
15:11 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–8
- 70.4%
- Expected goals
- 1.2–0.3
- 81.5%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Celebrini | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | SJS 5–4 DAL | 0G 3A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-18 | SJS 3–5 DAL | 0G 2A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-08 | SJS 3–8 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-20 | SJS 2–5 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Macklin Celebrini
2games (1 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Celebrini and Harley done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 1–3. Celebrini had 6 points (0 goals) and Harley had 3 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →