Who to start · 2025-26
Mario Ferraro vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.
Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Ferraro has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.6.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Blocked shots 150, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.082.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.6%, Corsi 57.6%, Offensive-zone start % 71.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ferraro | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.29 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.18 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.95 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ferraro vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ferraro 0G 1A, 13 SOG · MacKinnon 11G 26A, 105 SOG
Ferraro blocked 8 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Ferraro's.
On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)
16:04 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ferraro's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–27
- 28.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–2.2
- 26.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ferraro | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | SJS 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2025-11-26 | SJS 0–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-11-01 | SJS 3–2 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-06 | SJS 3–7 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 3A 8S |
| 2024-12-19 | SJS 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-10-20 | SJS 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2023-12-31 | SJS 1–3 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2023-12-17 | SJS 2–6 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 2A 4S |
| 2023-10-14 | SJS 1–2 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 14S |
| 2023-04-06 | SJS 2–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 3A 3S |
| 2023-04-04 | SJS 3–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 1A 7S |
| 2023-03-07 | SJS 0–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mario Ferraro or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ferraro and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 3–18. Ferraro had 1 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 37 (11 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →