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Who to start · 2025-26

Mathew Barzal vs Tyler Bertuzzi

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52.

Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games.

This week Barzal has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Bertuzzi has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bertuzzi for 1.6 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 24 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Barzal's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 313, Plus/minus +10, Blocked shots 50.

Bertuzzi's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.9, Luck Meter +45, Hits 55.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Tyler Bertuzzi

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarzalBertuzzi
Goals (+2)0.470.81
Assists (+1)0.650.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.21
Hits (+0.1)0.040.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barzal vs Bertuzzi

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarzalBertuzzi
13Team record in 16 meetings3
24Points in those games7

Barzal 3G 21A, 48 SOG · Bertuzzi 1G 6A, 33 SOG

0Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other1

Barzal blocked 0 of Bertuzzi's shots; Bertuzzi blocked 1 of Barzal's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Barzal's side)

5:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Barzal's side

Shot attempts
8–5
61.5%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
47.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Mathew Barzal and Tyler Bertuzzi
DateScoreBarzalBertuzzi
2026-03-24NYI 3–4 CHI0G 1A 5S1G 1A 2S
2025-12-30NYI 3–2 CHI0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-15NYI 3–5 CHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-05NYI 3–2 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-11NYI 4–3 TOR1G 3A 5S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-11NYI 4–3 TOR0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-27NYI 2–0 DET0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-24NYI 5–2 DET0G 2A 2S0G 1A 5S
2020-02-21NYI 4–1 DET0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2020-01-14NYI 8–2 DET0G 2A 2S0G 0A 3S
2019-12-02NYI 4–1 DET0G 1A 1S0G 1A 4S
2019-03-16NYI 1–2 DET0G 0A 8S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarzalBertuzzi

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Tyler Bertuzzi

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Mathew Barzal or Tyler Bertuzzi in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Bertuzzi's 1.52. Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Bertuzzi had 58 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mathew Barzal or Tyler Bertuzzi?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 24 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barzal and Bertuzzi done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Barzal's team went 13–3. Barzal had 24 points (3 goals) and Bertuzzi had 7 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →