Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Ekholm vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Ekholm has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.7%, Corsi 56.0%, Fenwick 56.1%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.4, Luck Meter +88, On-ice PDO 1036.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromEkholmSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.130.44
Assists (+1)0.380.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.14
Hits (+0.1)0.080.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.670.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ekholm vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EkholmSamuelsson
1Team record in 5 meetings4
3Points in those games2

Ekholm 0G 3A, 13 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 2A, 4 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Ekholm blocked 0 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 1 of Ekholm's.

On the ice against each other (Ekholm's side)

22:11 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ekholm's side

Shot attempts
21–18
53.8%
Expected goals
0.7–1.4
32.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Ekholm and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreEkholmSamuelsson
2025-12-09EDM 3–4 BUF0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-17EDM 1–5 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-25EDM 3–2 BUF0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-14NSH 3–5 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2022-04-01NSH 3–4 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EkholmSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Ekholm or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Ekholm or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ekholm and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Ekholm's team went 1–4. Ekholm had 3 points (0 goals) and Samuelsson had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →