Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Nazem Kadri

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nazem Kadri's 1.63.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Kadri had 50 in 77 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left; Kadri has 1 left. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Kadri's 1.5.

Nazem Kadri has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, Goals above expected +4.6, Luck Meter +79.

Kadri's biggest edges: Power-play share 70.7%, Offensive-zone time 45.0%, Power-play time per game 3:13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Nazem Kadri

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonKadri
Goals (+2)0.440.39
Assists (+1)0.340.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.27
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Kadri

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonKadri
1Team record in 8 meetings7
5Points in those games14

Samuelsson 2G 3A, 7 SOG · Kadri 5G 9A, 25 SOG

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other0

Samuelsson blocked 2 of Kadri's shots; Kadri blocked 0 of Samuelsson's.

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

14:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
19–19
50.0%
Expected goals
0.8–1.0
46.8%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Nazem Kadri
DateScoreSamuelssonKadri
2025-12-08BUF 4–7 CGY0G 0A 0S1G 2A 2S
2025-11-19BUF 2–6 CGY1G 1A 3S0G 2A 6S
2025-01-23BUF 2–5 CGY1G 1A 2S1G 2A 1S
2023-10-19BUF 3–4 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2023-02-11BUF 2–7 CGY0G 0A 0S1G 1A 4S
2022-10-20BUF 6–3 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-01-30BUF 1–4 COL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2022-02-19BUF 3–5 COL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonKadri

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts

Nazem Kadri

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.5 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Nazem Kadri in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nazem Kadri's 1.63. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Kadri had 50 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Nazem Kadri?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nazem Kadri leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Samuelsson and Kadri done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 1–7. Samuelsson had 5 points (2 goals) and Kadri had 14 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →