Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Ryan Hartman

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Hartman's 1.73.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Hartman had 43 in 76 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hartman has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Hartman's 1.2.

Ryan Hartman has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 93, Luck Meter +79, Plus/minus +41.

Hartman's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.2%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.009, Penalty minutes 48.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Ryan Hartman

1.73

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonHartman
Goals (+2)0.440.57
Assists (+1)0.340.25
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.21
Hits (+0.1)0.160.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.59

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Hartman

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonHartman
3Team record in 5 meetings2
1Points in those games4

Samuelsson 0G 1A, 2 SOG · Hartman 3G 1A, 13 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Samuelsson blocked 1 of Hartman's shots; Hartman blocked 0 of Samuelsson's.

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

15:08 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
9–24
27.3%
Expected goals
0.3–1.5
18.6%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Ryan Hartman
DateScoreSamuelssonHartman
2026-01-17BUF 4–5 MIN0G 1A 0S1G 0A 4S
2025-11-29BUF 3–2 MIN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-22BUF 1–4 MIN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-07BUF 6–5 MIN0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2022-03-04BUF 5–4 MIN0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonHartman

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Ryan Hartman

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Ryan Hartman in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Hartman's 1.73. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Hartman had 43 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Ryan Hartman?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Hartman leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Samuelsson and Hartman done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 3–2. Samuelsson had 1 points (0 goals) and Hartman had 4 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →