Who to start · 2025-26
Mikhail Sergachev vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15.
Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Sergachev has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Sergachev's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.25, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.062.
Wilson's biggest edges: High-danger chances 56.3%, Hits 179, On-ice PDO 1017.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mikhail Sergachev
2.15
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Sergachev | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.24 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.81 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Sergachev vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Sergachev 3G 9A, 34 SOG · Wilson 4G 9A, 31 SOG
Sergachev blocked 0 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Sergachev's.
On the ice against each other (Sergachev's side)
6:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Sergachev's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–8
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.5
- 46.1%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Sergachev | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | UTA 4–7 WSH | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-03 | UTA 3–2 WSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-09 | UTA 5–4 WSH | 0G 1A 0S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2024-11-18 | UTA 2–6 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-30 | TBL 5–1 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-06 | TBL 3–4 WSH | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-01 | TBL 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-10-16 | TBL 2–1 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2019-12-21 | TBL 1–3 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-12-14 | TBL 2–5 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2019-11-29 | TBL 3–4 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-03-30 | TBL 3–6 WSH | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mikhail Sergachev
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mikhail Sergachev or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15. Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mikhail Sergachev or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Sergachev and Wilson done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Sergachev's team went 11–12. Sergachev had 12 points (3 goals) and Wilson had 13 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →