Who to start · 2025-26
Mitch Marner vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.
This week Marner has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Marner's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1019, Blocked shots 46, Faceoffs won 150.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.78, 20+ mph bursts 182, Top skating speed 23.1.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.65
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marner | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marner vs Ehlers
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marner 12G 28A, 73 SOG · Ehlers 13G 12A, 71 SOG
Marner's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Marner's defensive zone 1–0 (2025-26)
Marner blocked 0 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 1 of Marner's.
On the ice against each other (Marner's side)
33:58 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side
- Shot attempts
- 28–34
- 45.2%
- Expected goals
- 1.5–1.0
- 59.3%
- Goals
- 1–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marner | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 · PO | VGK 0–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-06-11 · PO | VGK 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 3A 0S |
| 2026-06-09 · PO | VGK 3–5 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2026-06-06 · PO | VGK 5–4 CAR | 3G 1A 10S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-06-04 · PO | VGK 3–4 CAR | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-06-02 · PO | VGK 5–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-28 | VGK 6–3 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-20 | VGK 4–1 CAR | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-23 | TOR 2–5 WPG | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-28 | TOR 6–4 WPG | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-01-27 | TOR 4–2 WPG | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-24 | TOR 1–0 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 29 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mitch Marner or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mitch Marner or Nikolaj Ehlers?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Marner and Ehlers done against each other?
- In 29 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 19–10. Marner had 40 points (12 goals) and Ehlers had 25 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marner or Ehlers?
- Against each other, Marner has won 1 and Ehlers 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →