Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Frost vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Frost has 2 games left; Aho has 1 left. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Aho's 1.8.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Blocked shots 39, Draw Equity /100 +0.083.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Scoring chances 57.5%, Sequence xG 55.1%.
Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Frost 22–15.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Frost
1.30
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Frost | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.24 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Frost vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Frost 3G 9A, 29 SOG · Aho 8G 9A, 44 SOG
Frost's offensive zone 5–3 · neutral 7–7 · Frost's defensive zone 3–12 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Frost's side)
3:53 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Frost's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–6
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.4
- 21.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Frost | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | CGY 5–4 CAR | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2025-11-30 | CGY 0–1 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-02 | CGY 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-11-05 | PHI 4–6 CAR | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-03-21 | PHI 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-11-28 | PHI 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2023-11-15 | PHI 3–1 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-30 | PHI 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-18 | PHI 4–5 CAR | 0G 2A 4S | 3G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-09 | PHI 0–1 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-23 | PHI 5–6 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-10-29 | PHI 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.3 pts
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.3 pts
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Frost or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Frost or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Frost and Aho done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Frost's team went 3–13. Frost had 12 points (3 goals) and Aho had 17 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Frost or Aho?
- Against each other, Frost has won 15 and Aho 22 of their 37 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →