Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Frost vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Frost has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Thompson's 2.6.
Tage Thompson has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Frost's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.083, Faceoff win % 56.8%, Goals above expected +3.0.
Thompson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.9, Ascension score 48, Ice time per game 19:15.
Head to head on the dot, Frost leads Thompson 12–6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Frost
1.30
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Frost | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.93 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.24 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Frost vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Frost 1G 2A, 8 SOG · Thompson 9G 4A, 27 SOG
Frost's offensive zone 6–2 · neutral 4–3 · Frost's defensive zone 2–1 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Frost blocked 1 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 0 of Frost's.
On the ice against each other (Frost's side)
6:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Frost's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–12
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.2
- 54.7%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Frost | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | CGY 7–4 BUF | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-19 | CGY 6–2 BUF | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-05 | PHI 2–4 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-11-03 | PHI 5–1 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-01 | PHI 2–5 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2023-03-17 | PHI 5–2 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-09 | PHI 4–0 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-17 | PHI 3–5 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-16 | PHI 3–4 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-01-22 | PHI 3–6 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2021-01-18 | PHI 1–6 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Frost or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Frost or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Frost and Thompson done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Frost's team went 5–6. Frost had 3 points (1 goals) and Thompson had 13 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Frost or Thompson?
- Against each other, Frost has won 12 and Thompson 6 of their 18 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →