Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Frost vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Frost has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Harley has 1 left. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.
Morgan Frost has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.028, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%.
Harley's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, High-danger chances 51.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Frost
1.30
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.
| Points per game from | Frost | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Frost vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Frost 2G 3A, 10 SOG · Harley 0G 2A, 8 SOG
Frost blocked 3 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 1 of Frost's.
On the ice against each other (Frost's side)
6:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Frost's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–7
- 41.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.8
- 16.2%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Frost | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | CGY 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-03-03 | CGY 1–6 DAL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-27 | CGY 2–5 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-06 | CGY 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-09 | PHI 1–4 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-18 | PHI 5–1 DAL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-06 | PHI 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Frost or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Frost or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Frost leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Frost and Harley done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Frost's team went 1–6. Frost had 5 points (2 goals) and Harley had 2 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →