Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Frost vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Frost has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
They split the 33 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Frost's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 601, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, 20+ mph bursts 142.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Luck Meter +35, On-ice PDO 1011.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Frost
1.37
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Vladimir Tarasenko has the edge.
| Points per game from | Frost | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Frost vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Frost 1G 1A, 23 SOG · Tarasenko 6G 6A, 29 SOG
On the ice against each other (Frost's side)
10:18 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Frost's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–8
- 57.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.3
- 57.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Frost | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | CGY 1–4 MIN | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-04 | CGY 4–1 MIN | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-09 | CGY 0–2 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-01 | CGY 1–3 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-01-21 | PHI 2–1 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-18 | PHI 4–6 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-12 | PHI 4–1 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-24 | PHI 1–4 FLA | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-07 | PHI 2–1 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-02 | PHI 4–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-21 | PHI 3–5 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-14 | PHI 2–5 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Frost or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Frost or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 33 stats where both qualify.
- How have Frost and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Frost's team went 7–9. Frost had 2 points (1 goals) and Tarasenko had 12 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →