Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Moritz Seider vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Moritz Seider's 2.46.

Seider had 60 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Seider has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Seider for 2.7 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.2.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Seider's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.047, Hits 128, Blocked shots 180.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Top skating speed 24.8, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Moritz Seider

2.46

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSeiderMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.231.49
Assists (+1)0.570.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.46
Hits (+0.1)0.150.09
Blocks (+0.5)1.120.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Seider vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SeiderMacKinnon
2Team record in 9 meetings7
2Points in those games19

Seider 0G 2A, 16 SOG · MacKinnon 9G 10A, 45 SOG

1Hits on each other0
4Shots blocked by the other0

Seider blocked 4 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Seider's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Seider's side)

19:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Seider's side

Shot attempts
13–17
43.3%
Expected goals
1.0–0.9
51.1%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Moritz Seider and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreSeiderMacKinnon
2026-02-02DET 2–0 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S
2026-01-31DET 0–5 COL0G 0A 0S2G 1A 4S
2025-03-25DET 2–5 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2024-12-07DET 1–2 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-06DET 2–7 COL0G 0A 1S1G 3A 8S
2024-02-22DET 2–1 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 11S
2023-03-18DET 1–5 COL0G 0A 2S1G 2A 3S
2023-01-16DET 3–6 COL0G 1A 0S2G 2A 5S
2021-12-10DET 3–7 COL0G 1A 5S1G 0A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SeiderMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Moritz Seider

2games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.7 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Moritz Seider or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Moritz Seider's 2.46. Seider had 60 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Moritz Seider or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Seider and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Seider's team went 2–7. Seider had 2 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 19 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →