Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Vince Dunn
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.2.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Plus/minus +57, Expected goals 59.7%, Fenwick 56.0%.
Dunn's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.085, Penalty minutes 54.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Vince Dunn
1.83
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.49 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.87 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.46 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.53 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Dunn
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 19G 33A, 161 SOG · Dunn 4G 11A, 68 SOG
MacKinnon blocked 4 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 0 of MacKinnon's.
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
24:43 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 32–34
- 48.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.6–1.0
- 62.3%
- Goals
- 3–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Dunn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | COL 5–1 SEA | 1G 3A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-16 | COL 5–3 SEA | 2G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-12-22 | COL 5–2 SEA | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-13 | COL 5–1 SEA | 0G 3A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-11-09 | COL 3–4 SEA | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-10-17 | COL 4–1 SEA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-30 · PO | COL 1–2 SEA | 0G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-28 · PO | COL 4–1 SEA | 0G 0A 7S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-26 · PO | COL 2–3 SEA | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-24 · PO | COL 2–3 SEA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-22 · PO | COL 6–4 SEA | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-20 · PO | COL 3–2 SEA | 0G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 37 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Vince Dunn
3games (2 left)
3.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Vince Dunn?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Dunn done against each other?
- In 37 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 19–18. MacKinnon had 52 points (19 goals) and Dunn had 15 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →