Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Trocheck has 2 left. We project Trocheck for 3.3 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.2.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Expected goals 59.7%, Plus/minus +57, Sequence xG 59.5%.
Trocheck's biggest edges: Hits 193, Draw Equity /100 +0.084, Faceoff win % 56.9%.
Head to head on the dot, Trocheck leads MacKinnon 46–24.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Vincent Trocheck
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Trocheck |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.49 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.87 | 0.58 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.46 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.31 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Trocheck
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 11G 6A, 66 SOG · Trocheck 1G 5A, 35 SOG
MacKinnon's offensive zone 14–18 · neutral 7–18 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 3–10 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
MacKinnon blocked 0 of Trocheck's shots; Trocheck blocked 2 of MacKinnon's.
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
24:45 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 35–27
- 56.5%
- Expected goals
- 2.0–0.6
- 77.3%
- Goals
- 3–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Trocheck |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | COL 3–2 NYR | 2G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-11-20 | COL 6–3 NYR | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-26 | COL 5–4 NYR | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-01-14 | COL 3–2 NYR | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-28 | COL 2–3 NYR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-05 | COL 1–2 NYR | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-25 | COL 3–2 NYR | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-16 | COL 7–4 CAR | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-03-10 | COL 0–2 CAR | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2020-02-28 | COL 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-10-18 | COL 5–4 FLA | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2019-02-25 | COL 3–4 FLA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Vincent Trocheck
3games (2 left)
3.3proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.8 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Vincent Trocheck in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Vincent Trocheck?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Trocheck done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 10–4. MacKinnon had 17 points (11 goals) and Trocheck had 6 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Trocheck?
- Against each other, MacKinnon has won 24 and Trocheck 46 of their 70 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →