Who to start · 2025-26
Parker Kelly vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Kelly has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left. We project Kelly for 1.2 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.2.
Parker Kelly has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kelly's biggest edges: Hits 177, Plus/minus +18, Luck Meter +72.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Power-play share 53.8%, Power-play time per game 2:20, Power-play points 14.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Parker Kelly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kelly | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kelly vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kelly 2G 0A, 17 SOG · Buchnevich 3G 6A, 22 SOG
Kelly's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Kelly's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Kelly's side)
5:43 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kelly's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–5
- 58.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.3
- 30.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kelly | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | COL 3–1 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-05 | COL 2–3 STL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6–1 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-05 | COL 4–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-29 | COL 1–2 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-02-23 | COL 1–3 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-01-31 | COL 5–0 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-21 | OTT 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-14 | OTT 2–4 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-16 | OTT 1–2 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-08 | OTT 4–1 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-15 | OTT 2–5 STL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 3A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.2 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.2 ptsSchedule edge −12.8 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Parker Kelly or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.51 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Parker Kelly or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kelly and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 4–8. Kelly had 2 points (2 goals) and Buchnevich had 9 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kelly or Buchnevich?
- Against each other, Kelly has won 0 and Buchnevich 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →