Who to start · 2025-26
Parker Kelly vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Kelly has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kelly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.5, Blocked shots 58, Luck Meter +72.
Aho's biggest edges: Power-play share 68.4%, Power-play time per game 3:06, Power-play points 26.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kelly | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kelly vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kelly 2G 3A, 6 SOG · Aho 4G 9A, 19 SOG
Kelly's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–3 · Kelly's defensive zone 2–2 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kelly | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | COL 5–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 7S |
| 2025-10-23 | COL 4–5 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-05 | COL 3–5 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-11-09 | COL 6–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-03-17 | OTT 2–7 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2023-12-12 | OTT 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2023-10-11 | OTT 3–5 CAR | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Parker Kelly or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Parker Kelly or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kelly and Aho done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 2–5. Kelly had 5 points (2 goals) and Aho had 13 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kelly or Aho?
- Against each other, Kelly has won 3 and Aho 5 of their 8 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →