Who to start · 2025-26
Parker Kelly vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Kelly has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stamkos for 2.0 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Steven Stamkos has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kelly's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, Fenwick 56.2%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.17.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.085, Faceoff win % 57.7%, Power-play time per game 3:09.
Head to head on the dot, Stamkos leads Kelly 8–4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Steven Stamkos has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kelly | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.61 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kelly vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kelly 0G 3A, 15 SOG · Stamkos 5G 6A, 47 SOG
Kelly's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 1–2 · Kelly's defensive zone 2–5 (2023-24 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Kelly's side)
15:03 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Kelly's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–19
- 44.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.5
- 55.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kelly | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | COL 3–7 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-13 | COL 4–2 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-09 | COL 3–4 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2025-11-22 | COL 3–0 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-22 | COL 1–2 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-14 | COL 5–2 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-11-11 | COL 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-02 | COL 2–5 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-11 | OTT 3–2 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-19 | OTT 4–2 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-04 | OTT 4–6 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-11-01 | OTT 3–4 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 8S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Parker Kelly or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Parker Kelly or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kelly and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 6–8. Kelly had 3 points (0 goals) and Stamkos had 11 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kelly or Stamkos?
- Against each other, Kelly has won 4 and Stamkos 8 of their 12 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →