Who to start · 2025-26
Parker Kelly vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Kelly has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Parker Kelly has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Kelly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.5, Corsi 56.9%, Fenwick 56.2%.
Harley's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 1:38, Power-play share 37.4%, Ice-time share 37.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kelly | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.61 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kelly vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kelly 0G 1A, 14 SOG · Harley 4G 5A, 24 SOG
Kelly blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 2 of Kelly's.
On the ice against each other (Kelly's side)
17:30 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Kelly's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–13
- 51.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 47.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kelly | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | COL 2–0 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-18 | COL 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-03-06 | COL 5–4 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-11 | COL 4–5 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-05-03 · PO | COL 2–4 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-05-01 · PO | COL 7–4 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-28 · PO | COL 2–6 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-26 · PO | COL 4–0 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-23 · PO | COL 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-21 · PO | COL 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-19 · PO | COL 5–1 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-16 | COL 4–3 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Parker Kelly or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Parker Kelly or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kelly and Harley done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 8–8. Kelly had 1 points (0 goals) and Harley had 9 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →