Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Buchnevich vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Buchnevich has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left. We project Aho for 1.8 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.2.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Blocked shots 40, On-ice PDO 1000, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Fenwick 60.3%, Draw Equity /100 +0.005.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Buchnevich | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.46 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.32 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Buchnevich vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Buchnevich 8G 8A, 43 SOG · Aho 5G 7A, 54 SOG
Buchnevich's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Buchnevich's defensive zone 0–2 (2023-24 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Buchnevich's side)
3:29 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Buchnevich's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–7
- 30.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 0.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Buchnevich | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | STL 3–1 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2026-01-13 | STL 3–0 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-17 | STL 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-19 | STL 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-04-12 | STL 2–5 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-06 | STL 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-01 | STL 4–6 CAR | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-26 | STL 2–7 CAR | 2G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-11-13 | STL 2–3 CAR | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2020-02-21 | NYR 5–2 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2019-12-27 | NYR 5–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2019-11-27 | NYR 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.2 ptsSchedule edge −12.8 win%
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Buchnevich or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Buchnevich and Aho done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, Buchnevich's team went 14–7. Buchnevich had 16 points (8 goals) and Aho had 12 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Buchnevich or Aho?
- Against each other, Buchnevich has won 0 and Aho 3 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →