Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Pavel Dorofeyev vs Sebastian Aho

Pavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevRangers · Right wingvsSebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90.

Dorofeyev had 64 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Dorofeyev has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.034, Goals above expected +2.5, Ascension score 53.

Aho's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 596, Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Plus/minus +11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDorofeyevAho
Goals (+2)0.860.72
Assists (+1)0.330.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.25
Hits (+0.1)0.030.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dorofeyev vs Aho

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DorofeyevAho
4Team record in 11 meetings7
6Points in those games10

Dorofeyev 5G 1A, 36 SOG · Aho 2G 8A, 25 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Dorofeyev's side)

24:08 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Dorofeyev's side

Shot attempts
27–20
57.4%
Expected goals
1.0–0.8
55.0%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Pavel Dorofeyev and Sebastian Aho
DateScoreDorofeyevAho
2026-06-14 · POVGK 0–3 CAR0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2026-06-11 · POVGK 2–4 CAR2G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2026-06-09 · POVGK 3–5 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2026-06-06 · POVGK 5–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2026-06-04 · POVGK 3–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2026-06-02 · POVGK 5–4 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-28VGK 6–3 CAR2G 0A 9S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-20VGK 4–1 CAR1G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2025-01-17VGK 2–3 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-11VGK 2–5 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-19VGK 3–6 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 3A 7S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DorofeyevAho

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Pavel Dorofeyev or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90. Dorofeyev had 64 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Pavel Dorofeyev or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
How have Dorofeyev and Aho done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Dorofeyev's team went 4–7. Dorofeyev had 6 points (5 goals) and Aho had 10 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →