Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Zacha vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70.
Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Zacha has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Zacha's 1.0.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Zacha's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.4, On-ice PDO 1036, Luck Meter +68.
Aho's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Offensive-zone start % 68.8%, Expected goals 55.1%.
Head to head on the dot, Zacha leads Aho 36–26.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Zacha
1.70
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Zacha | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Zacha vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Zacha 7G 14A, 45 SOG · Aho 3G 10A, 49 SOG
Zacha's offensive zone 7–3 · neutral 14–10 · Zacha's defensive zone 15–13 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Zacha blocked 0 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 1 of Zacha's.
On the ice against each other (Zacha's side)
21:41 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Zacha's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–28
- 34.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–1.2
- 42.1%
- Goals
- 3–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Zacha | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | BOS 5–6 CAR | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-11-17 | BOS 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-01 | BOS 2–1 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-05 | BOS 5–1 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-06 | BOS 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-31 | BOS 2–8 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-09 | BOS 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-04 | BOS 4–1 CAR | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-24 | BOS 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-03-26 | BOS 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-29 | BOS 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-25 | BOS 3–2 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Zacha
3games (1 left)
1.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Zacha or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70. Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Zacha or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Zacha and Aho done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Zacha's team went 12–14. Zacha had 21 points (7 goals) and Aho had 13 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Zacha or Aho?
- Against each other, Zacha has won 36 and Aho 26 of their 62 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →