Who to start · 2025-26
Robert Thomas vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89.
Thomas had 64 points in 64 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Thomas has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Thomas's 1.9.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Thomas's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1045, Goals above expected +5.4, Luck Meter +53.
Aho's biggest edges: Hardest shot 89.2, Hits 63, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.
Head to head on the dot, Thomas leads Aho 29–20.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Robert Thomas
1.89
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Thomas | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Thomas vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Thomas 0G 12A, 10 SOG · Aho 4G 7A, 34 SOG
Thomas's offensive zone 9–6 · neutral 10–4 · Thomas's defensive zone 10–10 (2018-19 to 2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Thomas's side)
5:33 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Thomas's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–3
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.2
- 30.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Thomas | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | STL 3–1 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2024-10-19 | STL 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-04-12 | STL 2–5 CAR | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-06 | STL 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-21 | STL 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-12-01 | STL 4–6 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-26 | STL 2–7 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-11-13 | STL 2–3 CAR | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2020-02-04 | STL 6–3 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2019-03-01 | STL 2–5 CAR | 0G 2A 0S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2018-11-06 | STL 4–1 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Robert Thomas
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 3rd-most FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to C
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Robert Thomas or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89. Thomas had 64 points in 64 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Robert Thomas or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Thomas and Aho done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Thomas's team went 5–6. Thomas had 12 points (0 goals) and Aho had 11 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Thomas or Aho?
- Against each other, Thomas has won 29 and Aho 20 of their 49 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →