Who to start · 2025-26
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left; Thompson has 1 left. We project Thompson for 2.4 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.7.
Tage Thompson has the better number in 22 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, High-danger chances 54.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.
Thompson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 176, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.008, Hits 85.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.38
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nugent-Hopkins | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.56 | 0.99 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nugent-Hopkins 4G 6A, 34 SOG · Thompson 6G 4A, 34 SOG
Nugent-Hopkins's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–1 · Nugent-Hopkins's defensive zone 0–3 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)
4:48 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–5
- 54.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.1
- 69.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nugent-Hopkins | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | EDM 3–4 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2025-03-10 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-25 | EDM 3–2 BUF | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-21 | EDM 8–3 BUF | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-03-09 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-06 | EDM 3–2 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-10-18 | EDM 2–4 BUF | 1G 0A 7S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-11-12 | EDM 2–3 BUF | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-03-04 | EDM 4–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-01-14 | EDM 7–2 BUF | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2017-12-21 | EDM 3–2 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.7 pts
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 22 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nugent-Hopkins and Thompson done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 6–5. Nugent-Hopkins had 10 points (4 goals) and Thompson had 10 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Nugent-Hopkins or Thompson?
- Against each other, Nugent-Hopkins has won 1 and Thompson 5 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →