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Who to start · 2025-26

Sebastian Aho vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.

Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Aho's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 596, Penalty minutes 46, Assists 53.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Top skating speed 23.4, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Sebastian Aho

2.03

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromAhoJarvis
Goals (+2)0.680.90
Assists (+1)0.670.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.040.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.32
Hits (+0.1)0.080.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Aho vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

AhoJarvis
4Shots blocked by the other10

Aho blocked 4 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 10 of Aho's.

52Goals set up by the other62

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

932:36 at 5-on-5 over 87 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
1152–739
60.9%
Expected goals
49.2–40.8
54.7%
Goals
39–40

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

AhoJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Sebastian Aho or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →