Who to start · 2025-26
Seth Jarvis vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Jarvis has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Fenwick 59.7%, Corsi 60.4%.
Harley's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1010, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 148.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.92
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Jarvis | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 1.06 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Jarvis vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Jarvis 2G 4A, 16 SOG · Harley 2G 1A, 9 SOG
On the ice against each other (Jarvis's side)
10:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Jarvis's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–9
- 57.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.6
- 51.7%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Jarvis | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | CAR 6–3 DAL | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-25 | CAR 2–3 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-21 | CAR 2–1 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-25 | CAR 6–4 DAL | 1G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-24 | CAR 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-13 | CAR 2–4 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.8 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Seth Jarvis or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Seth Jarvis or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Jarvis and Harley done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Jarvis's team went 3–3. Jarvis had 6 points (2 goals) and Harley had 3 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →