Who to start · 2025-26
Seth Jarvis vs Vladimir Tarasenko
In 2025-26, Seth Jarvis scored 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Jarvis has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 29 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Corsi 60.4%, Fenwick 59.7%, Top skating speed 23.4.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1011, Goals above expected +4.0, Luck Meter +35.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Jarvis | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Jarvis vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Jarvis 5G 4A, 34 SOG · Tarasenko 1G 4A, 23 SOG
Jarvis blocked 0 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Jarvis's.
On the ice against each other (Jarvis's side)
1:21 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Jarvis's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–0
- 100.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.0
- 100.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Jarvis | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | CAR 4–3 MIN | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-04 | CAR 3–5 DET | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-14 | CAR 4–2 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-04 | CAR 2–1 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-14 | CAR 4–0 FLA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-12 | CAR 4–1 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-10-11 | CAR 5–3 OTT | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-23 | CAR 1–2 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-03-21 | CAR 3–2 NYR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-02-11 | CAR 2–6 NYR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-01 | CAR 6–4 STL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2022-03-26 | CAR 7–2 STL | 2G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Seth Jarvis or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Seth Jarvis scored 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Seth Jarvis or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 29 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Jarvis and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Jarvis's team went 10–3. Jarvis had 9 points (5 goals) and Tarasenko had 5 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →