Who to start · 2025-26
Steven Stamkos vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00.
Stamkos had 66 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Stamkos has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Stamkos's 2.0.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Faceoffs won 323, Offensive-zone time 45.6%.
Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Fenwick 55.8%, Sequence xG 55.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Stamkos | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.96 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.34 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Stamkos vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Stamkos 8G 8A, 51 SOG · Wilson 4G 11A, 37 SOG
Stamkos's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–1 · Stamkos's defensive zone 1–0 (2017-18 to 2021-22)
Stamkos blocked 1 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 2 of Stamkos's.
On the ice against each other (Stamkos's side)
5:39 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Stamkos's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–6
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 51.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Stamkos | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NSH 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-11 | NSH 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-06 | NSH 2–3 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-13 | TBL 2–4 WSH | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-22 | TBL 3–5 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | TBL 2–1 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-03-30 | TBL 5–1 WSH | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-06 | TBL 3–4 WSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-01 | TBL 3–2 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-10-16 | TBL 2–1 WSH | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2019-12-21 | TBL 1–3 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-12-14 | TBL 2–5 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Steven Stamkos or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Steven Stamkos's 2.00. Stamkos had 66 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Steven Stamkos or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Stamkos and Wilson done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Stamkos's team went 10–15. Stamkos had 16 points (8 goals) and Wilson had 15 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Stamkos or Wilson?
- Against each other, Stamkos has won 1 and Wilson 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →