Who to start · 2025-26
Thomas Harley vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Harley had 36 points in 70 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Harley has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Harley's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, On-ice PDO 1010, Plus/minus +3.
Hertl's biggest edges: Ascension score 61, Fenwick 55.5%, Corsi 56.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Harley | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Harley vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Harley 0G 2A, 23 SOG · Hertl 3G 2A, 25 SOG
Harley blocked 0 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 3 of Harley's.
On the ice against each other (Harley's side)
9:11 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Harley's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–15
- 31.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.4
- 36.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Harley | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | DAL 2–3 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-10 | DAL 2–1 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-29 | DAL 5–4 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-01-28 | DAL 4–3 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-24 | DAL 4–3 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-06 | DAL 2–3 VGK | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-05-05 · PO | DAL 2–1 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-03 · PO | DAL 0–2 VGK | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-01 · PO | DAL 3–2 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-29 · PO | DAL 4–2 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | DAL 3–2 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-24 · PO | DAL 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Thomas Harley or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Harley had 36 points in 70 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Thomas Harley or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Harley and Hertl done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Harley's team went 9–5. Harley had 2 points (0 goals) and Hertl had 5 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →