Who to start · 2025-26
Tomas Hertl vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Hertl has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Hertl's biggest edges: Corsi 56.2%, Fenwick 55.5%, Faceoffs won 720.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Luck Meter +35, On-ice PDO 1011.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tomas Hertl
1.82
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hertl | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hertl vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hertl 7G 4A, 31 SOG · Tarasenko 6G 9A, 49 SOG
Hertl's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Hertl's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19)
On the ice against each other (Hertl's side)
2:51 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Hertl's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–2
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 39.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hertl | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | VGK 2–4 MIN | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-29 | VGK 2–5 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-22 | VGK 6–3 DET | 3G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-16 | VGK 0–3 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-01-13 | SJS 4–5 OTT | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-10 | SJS 3–5 STL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-04-21 | SJS 1–3 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-11-18 | SJS 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2021-11-04 | SJS 3–5 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-03-20 | SJS 2–5 STL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-03-19 | SJS 1–2 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2019-05-19 · PO | SJS 0–5 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 3S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tomas Hertl or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tomas Hertl or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hertl and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Hertl's team went 4–14. Hertl had 11 points (7 goals) and Tarasenko had 15 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hertl or Tarasenko?
- Against each other, Hertl has won 1 and Tarasenko 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →