Draw Duel
Zachary Sanford faceoff stats, 2023-24
CHI · L · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
37.9%
90%: 32.0%–44.3% vs an average regular, on 119 draws since 2023-24
2023-24 FO%
35.3%
42 won of 119 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
42.4% / 29.3%
59 strong-side, 41 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Sanford wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2023-24 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 25 | 10 | 40.0% |
| OZ right | 18 | 5 | 27.8% |
| NZ left (att.) | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Centre | 19 | 5 | 26.3% |
| NZ left (def.) | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| NZ right (def.) | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| DZ left | 19 | 8 | 42.1% |
| DZ right | 14 | 5 | 35.7% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R30.0%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L30.7%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R31.0%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R31.4%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L31.6%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L31.8%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L50.8%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L50.5%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L49.3%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L47.6%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L47.3%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R47.1%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 35.3% 119 | 34.7% 118 | 100.0% 1 | — 0 | 34.9% 43 | 32.6% 43 | 39.4% 33 | 42.4% 59 | 29.3% 41 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Ryan | 1–5 | 16.7% | 35.2% | 35.0% | normal luck (z -1.0) |
| Sam Lafferty | 1–4 | 20.0% | 41.8% | 41.6% | normal luck (z -1.0) |
| Mark Kastelic | 3–2 | 60.0% | 32.5% | 32.8% | a bit unusual (z 1.3) |
| Radek Faksa | 1–4 | 20.0% | 33.1% | 33.0% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Logan Cooley | 2–2 | 50.0% | 42.4% | 42.5% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Lars Eller | 1–3 | 25.0% | 32.1% | 32.1% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Alexander Wennberg | 3–0 | 100.0% | 48.6% | 48.9% | a bit unusual (z 1.8) |
| Kailer Yamamoto | 1–2 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 49.9% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Dylan Strome | 1–2 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 33.5% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Marco Rossi | 1–2 | 33.3% | 35.0% | 35.0% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Tim Stützle | 1–2 | 33.3% | 37.0% | 37.0% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Wyatt Johnston | 2–1 | 66.7% | 40.9% | 41.1% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-10 | vs ARI | 2 | 3 | 66.7% |
| 2024-03-09 | @ WSH | 2 | 5 | 40.0% |
| 2024-03-05 | @ ARI | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| 2024-02-17 | vs OTT | 3 | 7 | 42.9% |
| 2024-02-15 | vs PIT | 3 | 6 | 50.0% |
| 2024-02-13 | vs VAN | 2 | 7 | 28.6% |
| 2024-02-07 | vs MIN | 1 | 6 | 16.7% |
| 2024-01-27 | @ CGY | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| 2024-01-25 | @ EDM | 0 | 6 | 0.0% |
| 2024-01-24 | @ SEA | 6 | 9 | 66.7% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Zachary Sanford's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Zachary Sanford's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Zachary Sanford win tonight?
When Zachary Sanford has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Zachary Sanford better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.