Draw Duel
Dylan Strome faceoff stats, 2025-26
WSH · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
54.9%
90%: 53.3%–56.4% vs an average regular, on 4,204 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
58.2%
777 won of 1334 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
61.5% / 57.3%
611 strong-side, 503 weak-side draws this season
Next game
8.1 FOW
2026-10-07 vs PIT: 14 draws at 57.2%, range 4–12
Where Strome wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 428 | 254 | 59.3% |
| OZ right | 317 | 184 | 58.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 36 | 27 | 75.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 34 | 16 | 47.1% |
| Centre | 220 | 113 | 51.4% |
| NZ left (def.) | 32 | 18 | 56.3% |
| NZ right (def.) | 24 | 15 | 62.5% |
| DZ left | 115 | 77 | 67.0% |
| DZ right | 128 | 73 | 57.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R46.1%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L46.6%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R47.2%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R47.7%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L47.7%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L47.9%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L67.1%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L66.9%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L65.9%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L64.3%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L64.0%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R63.9%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 52.0% 25 | 63.2% 19 | 16.7% 6 | — 0 | 29.4% 17 | 100.0% 3 | 100.0% 5 | 57.1% 14 | 40.0% 10 |
| 2025-26 | 58.2% 1334 | 55.8% 994 | 66.2% 328 | 41.7% 12 | 58.8% 745 | 54.6% 346 | 61.7% 243 | 61.5% 611 | 57.3% 503 |
| 2024-25 | 53.7% 1287 | 52.6% 968 | 56.9% 311 | 62.5% 8 | 55.0% 774 | 49.0% 345 | 57.1% 168 | 56.5% 524 | 52.0% 533 |
| 2023-24 | 52.8% 1320 | 50.6% 1002 | 59.9% 299 | 57.9% 19 | 53.3% 679 | 48.5% 371 | 57.4% 270 | 55.4% 525 | 53.2% 568 |
| Playoffs (all) | 46.6% 238 | 42.9% 168 | 55.7% 70 | — 0 | 49.2% 128 | 38.4% 73 | 54.1% 37 | 46.7% 107 | 54.7% 86 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Staal | 47–64 | 42.3% | 48.3% | 47.2% | a bit unusual (z -1.3) |
| Nico Hischier | 42–29 | 59.2% | 49.2% | 50.5% | a bit unusual (z 1.7) |
| Christian Dvorak | 26–31 | 45.6% | 49.7% | 49.3% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Jake Evans | 30–25 | 54.5% | 49.1% | 49.6% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Ryan McLeod | 26–22 | 54.2% | 54.2% | 54.2% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Sean Monahan | 27–18 | 60.0% | 53.3% | 53.9% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
| Anthony Cirelli | 20–23 | 46.5% | 53.1% | 52.6% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Sean Couturier | 24–19 | 55.8% | 49.9% | 50.3% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Mikael Backlund | 26–16 | 61.9% | 54.8% | 55.3% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
| Sebastian Aho | 24–18 | 57.1% | 53.4% | 53.7% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Bo Horvat | 27–14 | 65.9% | 48.8% | 50.1% | unusual (z 2.2) |
| Phillip Danault | 20–19 | 51.3% | 51.8% | 51.8% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | @ TBL | 5 | 12 | 41.7% |
| 2026-10-02 | @ CAR | 8 | 13 | 61.5% |
| 2026-04-14 | @ CBJ | 10 | 15 | 66.7% |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 6 | 11 | 54.5% |
| 2026-04-11 | @ PIT | 11 | 17 | 64.7% |
| 2026-04-08 | @ TOR | 5 | 14 | 35.7% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ NYR | 8 | 13 | 61.5% |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BUF | 8 | 18 | 44.4% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ NJD | 9 | 17 | 52.9% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs PHI | 5 | 16 | 31.3% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-07 vs PIT likely opponents: Sidney Crosby (50%), Ben Kindel (62%)8.1 FOW 4–12
- 2026-10-09 vs NYR likely opponents: J.T. Miller (49%), Mika Zibanejad (53%)7.5 FOW 3–12
- 2026-10-11 vs SEA likely opponents: Chandler Stephenson (56%), Matty Beniers (58%)8.3 FOW 4–13
FAQ
What is Dylan Strome's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Dylan Strome's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Dylan Strome win tonight?
When Dylan Strome has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Dylan Strome better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.