Draw Duel
Claude Giroux faceoff stats, 2025-26
OTT · R · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
58.8%
90%: 56.9%–60.6% vs an average regular, on 3,059 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
63.1%
504 won of 799 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
64.1% / 65.8%
661 strong-side, 73 weak-side draws this season
Next game
6.8 FOW
2026-10-05 vs BOS: 11 draws at 59.7%, range 3–11
Where Giroux wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 42 | 28 | 66.7% |
| OZ right | 273 | 168 | 61.5% |
| NZ left (att.) | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 25 | 13 | 52.0% |
| Centre | 65 | 32 | 49.2% |
| NZ left (def.) | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 23 | 11 | 47.8% |
| DZ left | 20 | 14 | 70.0% |
| DZ right | 340 | 232 | 68.2% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Aatu Räty VAN · L50.5%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R51.1%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R51.6%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L51.6%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L51.8%
- Jack Drury NSH · L51.9%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L70.7%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L70.4%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L69.3%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L67.9%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L67.6%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R67.2%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 83.3% 12 | 75.0% 4 | 100.0% 3 | 80.0% 5 | 100.0% 4 | — 0 | 75.0% 8 | 81.8% 11 | 100.0% 1 |
| 2025-26 | 63.1% 799 | 60.3% 478 | 64.7% 133 | 69.1% 188 | 62.2% 315 | 50.0% 124 | 68.3% 360 | 64.1% 661 | 65.8% 73 |
| 2024-25 | 61.5% 976 | 59.6% 606 | 69.3% 150 | 61.4% 220 | 61.8% 377 | 60.3% 194 | 61.7% 405 | 63.5% 762 | 51.6% 122 |
| 2023-24 | 58.0% 1152 | 55.5% 661 | 65.5% 194 | 58.6% 297 | 58.1% 413 | 53.3% 244 | 60.2% 495 | 59.1% 801 | 55.6% 207 |
| Playoffs (all) | 52.5% 120 | 58.7% 63 | 55.0% 20 | 40.5% 37 | 55.3% 38 | 53.8% 13 | 50.7% 69 | 53.8% 106 | 50.0% 10 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tavares | 36–28 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 57.0% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Nico Hischier | 18–25 | 41.9% | 53.7% | 52.7% | a bit unusual (z -1.6) |
| Jordan Staal | 22–20 | 52.4% | 52.9% | 52.8% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Dylan Larkin | 24–18 | 57.1% | 56.8% | 56.9% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
| Sebastian Aho | 24–12 | 66.7% | 58.6% | 59.1% | normal luck (z 1.0) |
| Sidney Crosby | 17–17 | 50.0% | 58.3% | 57.8% | normal luck (z -1.0) |
| Auston Matthews | 16–16 | 50.0% | 54.2% | 53.9% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Pavel Zacha | 20–10 | 66.7% | 59.4% | 59.8% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Bo Horvat | 17–12 | 58.6% | 54.6% | 54.8% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Anthony Cirelli | 11–13 | 45.8% | 59.9% | 59.3% | a bit unusual (z -1.4) |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 14–9 | 60.9% | 61.1% | 61.1% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Brock Nelson | 9–13 | 40.9% | 61.4% | 60.5% | a bit unusual (z -2.0) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | @ TOR | 10 | 12 | 83.3% |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CAR | 5 | 9 | 55.6% |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CAR | 9 | 16 | 56.3% |
| 2026-04-20 | @ CAR | 10 | 17 | 58.8% |
| 2026-04-18 | @ CAR | 10 | 14 | 71.4% |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TOR | 13 | 15 | 86.7% |
| 2026-04-12 | @ NJD | 10 | 15 | 66.7% |
| 2026-04-11 | @ NYI | 10 | 17 | 58.8% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs FLA | 10 | 13 | 76.9% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TBL | 2 | 8 | 25.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-05 vs BOS likely opponents: Pavel Zacha (58%), Elias Lindholm (60%)6.8 FOW 3–11
- 2026-10-06 vs DET likely opponents: Andrew Copp (57%), J.T. Compher (64%)7.2 FOW 3–11
- 2026-10-08 vs PHI likely opponents: Christian Dvorak (57%), Noel Acciari (63%)7.2 FOW 3–11
- 2026-10-10 vs NSH likely opponents: Ryan O'Reilly (57%), Jack Drury (53%)7.1 FOW 3–11
FAQ
What is Claude Giroux's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Claude Giroux's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Claude Giroux win tonight?
When Claude Giroux has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Claude Giroux better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.