Draw Duel
Sidney Crosby faceoff stats, 2025-26
PIT · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
55.5%
90%: 54.1%–57.0% vs an average regular, on 5,236 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
55.2%
773 won of 1401 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
57.9% / 53.5%
620 strong-side, 462 weak-side draws this season
Next game
12.3 FOW
2026-10-05 vs WPG: 21 draws at 58.4%, range 7–18
Where Crosby wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 418 | 245 | 58.6% |
| OZ right | 219 | 119 | 54.3% |
| NZ left (att.) | 47 | 25 | 53.2% |
| NZ right (att.) | 42 | 20 | 47.6% |
| Centre | 319 | 167 | 52.4% |
| NZ left (def.) | 23 | 14 | 60.9% |
| NZ right (def.) | 28 | 17 | 60.7% |
| DZ left | 132 | 75 | 56.8% |
| DZ right | 173 | 91 | 52.6% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R46.7%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L47.3%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R47.8%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R48.3%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L48.3%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L48.6%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L67.8%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L67.5%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L66.5%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L64.9%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L64.6%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R64.5%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 49.0% 49 | 51.4% 35 | 46.2% 13 | 0.0% 1 | 50.0% 20 | 55.6% 18 | 36.4% 11 | 42.1% 19 | 52.6% 19 |
| 2025-26 | 55.2% 1401 | 53.1% 1114 | 63.2% 272 | 60.0% 15 | 57.1% 637 | 52.9% 459 | 54.4% 305 | 57.9% 620 | 53.5% 462 |
| 2024-25 | 57.0% 1782 | 56.2% 1451 | 61.4% 293 | 55.3% 38 | 59.2% 845 | 54.8% 524 | 55.4% 413 | 56.0% 781 | 61.6% 628 |
| 2023-24 | 58.2% 1872 | 57.8% 1437 | 60.9% 381 | 50.0% 54 | 61.3% 887 | 54.3% 589 | 57.1% 396 | 60.0% 896 | 57.1% 567 |
| Playoffs (all) | 47.0% 132 | 45.7% 94 | 48.6% 35 | 66.7% 3 | 45.1% 71 | 55.0% 40 | 38.1% 21 | 48.1% 79 | 34.5% 29 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 46–44 | 51.1% | 48.6% | 49.0% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Noah Cates | 42–38 | 52.5% | 60.2% | 59.1% | a bit unusual (z -1.4) |
| Nico Hischier | 33–41 | 44.6% | 50.0% | 49.3% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Nick Suzuki | 52–22 | 70.3% | 53.7% | 55.8% | unusual (z 2.9) |
| Bo Horvat | 31–28 | 52.5% | 50.6% | 50.8% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Mikael Backlund | 40–19 | 67.8% | 54.7% | 56.1% | unusual (z 2.0) |
| Luke Glendening | 35–23 | 60.3% | 48.8% | 50.0% | a bit unusual (z 1.8) |
| Sean Couturier | 17–40 | 29.8% | 49.9% | 47.8% | unusual (z -3.0) |
| Charlie Coyle | 29–23 | 55.8% | 52.7% | 53.0% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Anthony Cirelli | 31–21 | 59.6% | 56.9% | 57.1% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Mika Zibanejad | 25–27 | 48.1% | 51.6% | 51.3% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Christian Dvorak | 25–27 | 48.1% | 51.0% | 50.7% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs MTL | 15 | 29 | 51.7% |
| 2026-09-30 | @ PHI | 9 | 20 | 45.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | @ PHI | 9 | 18 | 50.0% |
| 2026-04-27 | vs PHI | 12 | 20 | 60.0% |
| 2026-04-25 | @ PHI | 8 | 21 | 38.1% |
| 2026-04-22 | @ PHI | 11 | 27 | 40.7% |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 12 | 31 | 38.7% |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PHI | 10 | 15 | 66.7% |
| 2026-04-12 | @ WSH | 10 | 19 | 52.6% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ NJD | 8 | 17 | 47.1% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-05 vs WPG likely opponents: Adam Lowry (55%), Jonathan Toews (50%)12.3 FOW 7–18
- 2026-10-07 vs WSH likely opponents: Dylan Strome (51%), Boone Jenner (54%)12.2 FOW 6–18
- 2026-10-09 vs CBJ likely opponents: Charlie Coyle (53%), Adam Fantilli (59%)12.1 FOW 6–18
- 2026-10-10 vs DAL likely opponents: Wyatt Johnston (58%), Roope Hintz (55%)12.2 FOW 6–18
FAQ
What is Sidney Crosby's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Sidney Crosby's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Sidney Crosby win tonight?
When Sidney Crosby has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Sidney Crosby better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.