Draw Duel
Luke Glendening faceoff stats, 2025-26
PHI · C · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
53.6%
90%: 51.6%–55.6% vs an average regular, on 2,688 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
52.9%
343 won of 649 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
53.0% / 49.2%
428 strong-side, 122 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Glendening wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 36 | 17 | 47.2% |
| OZ right | 93 | 52 | 55.9% |
| NZ left (att.) | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| NZ right (att.) | 21 | 10 | 47.6% |
| Centre | 99 | 56 | 56.6% |
| NZ left (def.) | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| NZ right (def.) | 28 | 17 | 60.7% |
| DZ left | 65 | 31 | 47.7% |
| DZ right | 286 | 148 | 51.7% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R44.9%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L45.3%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R45.9%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L46.4%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R46.5%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L46.6%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L66.2%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L65.8%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L64.8%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L63.2%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L62.9%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R62.6%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 52.9% 649 | 54.0% 476 | 100.0% 4 | 48.5% 169 | 53.5% 129 | 56.2% 169 | 51.0% 351 | 53.0% 428 | 49.2% 122 |
| 2024-25 | 57.0% 881 | 58.6% 703 | 57.9% 19 | 49.7% 159 | 56.0% 193 | 57.3% 234 | 57.3% 454 | 57.6% 606 | 54.9% 142 |
| 2023-24 | 56.0% 948 | 58.3% 725 | 50.0% 8 | 48.4% 215 | 52.5% 162 | 58.3% 276 | 55.9% 510 | 56.7% 603 | 56.9% 181 |
| Playoffs (all) | 51.4% 210 | 51.4% 138 | 100.0% 1 | 50.7% 71 | 43.8% 16 | 48.5% 66 | 53.9% 128 | 50.0% 152 | 55.6% 18 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 28–42 | 40.0% | 51.2% | 49.8% | a bit unusual (z -1.9) |
| Aleksander Barkov | 29–25 | 53.7% | 49.4% | 49.8% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Dylan Larkin | 19–21 | 47.5% | 51.3% | 51.0% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Anton Lundell | 22–17 | 56.4% | 52.4% | 52.7% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Pavel Zacha | 17–19 | 47.2% | 53.5% | 53.1% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Jordan Staal | 14–21 | 40.0% | 47.1% | 46.6% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Dylan Strome | 17–16 | 51.5% | 50.2% | 50.3% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Sean Couturier | 15–18 | 45.5% | 48.8% | 48.6% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Sam Bennett | 16–15 | 51.6% | 58.1% | 57.7% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| John Tavares | 16–14 | 53.3% | 50.4% | 50.6% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Bo Horvat | 11–18 | 37.9% | 49.0% | 48.4% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Sean Monahan | 16–13 | 55.2% | 52.7% | 52.9% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | vs CAR | 6 | 12 | 50.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CAR | 7 | 13 | 53.8% |
| 2026-05-04 | @ CAR | 4 | 12 | 33.3% |
| 2026-05-02 | @ CAR | 7 | 10 | 70.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PIT | 7 | 13 | 53.8% |
| 2026-04-27 | @ PIT | 7 | 12 | 58.3% |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 4 | 10 | 40.0% |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PIT | 7 | 13 | 53.8% |
| 2026-04-20 | @ PIT | 4 | 11 | 36.4% |
| 2026-04-18 | @ PIT | 3 | 9 | 33.3% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Luke Glendening's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Luke Glendening's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Luke Glendening win tonight?
When Luke Glendening has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Luke Glendening better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.