Draw Duel
Anton Lundell faceoff stats, 2025-26
FLA · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
51.9%
90%: 50.2%–53.6% vs an average regular, on 3,670 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
51.8%
580 won of 1120 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
55.9% / 49.3%
544 strong-side, 355 weak-side draws this season
Next game
6.1 FOW
2026-10-04 vs ANA: 11 draws at 54.2%, range 2–10
Where Lundell wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 289 | 149 | 51.6% |
| OZ right | 75 | 45 | 60.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 30 | 16 | 53.3% |
| NZ right (att.) | 32 | 10 | 31.3% |
| Centre | 221 | 101 | 45.7% |
| NZ left (def.) | 40 | 28 | 70.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 24 | 8 | 33.3% |
| DZ left | 185 | 111 | 60.0% |
| DZ right | 224 | 112 | 50.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R43.1%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L43.7%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R44.2%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R44.7%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L44.7%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L45.0%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L64.4%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L64.1%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L63.2%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L61.5%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L61.2%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R61.1%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 61.5% 26 | 61.5% 13 | 85.7% 7 | 33.3% 6 | 60.0% 10 | 50.0% 6 | 70.0% 10 | 62.5% 16 | 66.7% 6 |
| 2025-26 | 51.8% 1120 | 52.7% 786 | 52.6% 152 | 47.3% 182 | 53.3% 364 | 47.0% 347 | 54.5% 409 | 55.9% 544 | 49.3% 355 |
| 2024-25 | 53.0% 1023 | 54.6% 804 | 50.6% 81 | 44.9% 138 | 52.7% 376 | 53.4% 313 | 53.0% 334 | 53.7% 503 | 51.0% 337 |
| 2023-24 | 54.9% 878 | 54.3% 768 | 65.6% 61 | 51.0% 49 | 52.4% 317 | 55.6% 322 | 57.3% 239 | 56.9% 459 | 51.3% 228 |
| Playoffs (all) | 49.9% 623 | 50.9% 542 | 47.1% 34 | 40.4% 47 | 53.3% 197 | 48.8% 213 | 47.9% 213 | 57.1% 282 | 41.1% 214 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tavares | 34–29 | 54.0% | 45.4% | 46.4% | a bit unusual (z 1.4) |
| Auston Matthews | 25–35 | 41.7% | 44.6% | 44.3% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Adam Henrique | 23–22 | 51.1% | 49.0% | 49.2% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Leon Draisaitl | 22–21 | 51.2% | 48.3% | 48.5% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Sebastian Aho | 20–21 | 48.8% | 50.4% | 50.3% | normal luck (z -0.2) |
| Sean Couturier | 17–20 | 45.9% | 47.2% | 47.1% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Jordan Staal | 13–24 | 35.1% | 44.5% | 43.9% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Nico Hischier | 13–23 | 36.1% | 47.5% | 46.7% | a bit unusual (z -1.4) |
| Alexander Wennberg | 17–17 | 50.0% | 54.4% | 54.1% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Ryan McLeod | 18–16 | 52.9% | 52.8% | 52.8% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
| Dylan Strome | 11–22 | 33.3% | 47.5% | 46.6% | a bit unusual (z -1.6) |
| Anze Kopitar | 15–17 | 46.9% | 43.8% | 43.9% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | @ SJS | 11 | 16 | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-29 | @ CAR | 5 | 10 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ EDM | 2 | 4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ VAN | 2 | 13 | 15.4% |
| 2026-03-15 | @ SEA | 12 | 22 | 54.5% |
| 2026-03-10 | vs DET | 9 | 14 | 64.3% |
| 2026-03-06 | @ DET | 5 | 11 | 45.5% |
| 2026-03-05 | @ CBJ | 5 | 8 | 62.5% |
| 2026-03-03 | @ NJD | 3 | 13 | 23.1% |
| 2026-03-01 | @ NYI | 12 | 21 | 57.1% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-04 vs ANA likely opponents: Tim Washe (47%), Mikael Granlund (55%)6.1 FOW 2–10
- 2026-10-06 vs LAK likely opponents: Quinton Byfield (58%), Erik Haula (53%)6.2 FOW 3–10
- 2026-10-10 vs MIN likely opponents: Joel Eriksson Ek (56%), Ryan Hartman (56%)6.3 FOW 3–10
FAQ
What is Anton Lundell's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Anton Lundell's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Anton Lundell win tonight?
When Anton Lundell has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Anton Lundell better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.