Draw Duel
Sean Couturier faceoff stats, 2025-26
PHI · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
55.3%
90%: 53.7%–56.9% vs an average regular, on 3,796 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
54.2%
632 won of 1166 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
59.8% / 49.5%
518 strong-side, 469 weak-side draws this season
Next game
6.3 FOW
2026-10-05 vs TBL: 11 draws at 59.7%, range 3–10
Where Couturier wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 210 | 118 | 56.2% |
| OZ right | 82 | 42 | 51.2% |
| NZ left (att.) | 27 | 17 | 63.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 28 | 17 | 60.7% |
| Centre | 179 | 90 | 50.3% |
| NZ left (def.) | 45 | 23 | 51.1% |
| NZ right (def.) | 31 | 9 | 29.0% |
| DZ left | 236 | 152 | 64.4% |
| DZ right | 328 | 164 | 50.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R46.5%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L47.1%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R47.6%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R48.1%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L48.1%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L48.3%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L67.4%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L67.1%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L66.2%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L64.5%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R64.3%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L64.2%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 55.2% 29 | 47.1% 17 | 100.0% 2 | 60.0% 10 | 100.0% 2 | 37.5% 8 | 57.9% 19 | 72.2% 18 | 40.0% 5 |
| 2025-26 | 54.2% 1166 | 54.2% 845 | 62.5% 72 | 51.8% 249 | 54.8% 292 | 50.3% 310 | 56.0% 564 | 59.8% 518 | 49.5% 469 |
| 2024-25 | 56.1% 1195 | 55.1% 1008 | 64.1% 142 | 53.3% 45 | 55.8% 480 | 55.6% 324 | 56.8% 391 | 60.2% 535 | 52.0% 460 |
| 2023-24 | 53.5% 1294 | 53.8% 1003 | 56.4% 202 | 42.7% 89 | 52.6% 515 | 57.9% 378 | 50.4% 401 | 57.5% 584 | 44.9% 459 |
| Playoffs (all) | 67.0% 112 | 68.1% 72 | 71.4% 14 | 61.5% 26 | 55.2% 29 | 69.7% 33 | 72.0% 50 | 74.2% 62 | 50.0% 34 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Staal | 53–32 | 62.4% | 49.1% | 51.0% | unusual (z 2.5) |
| Sidney Crosby | 40–17 | 70.2% | 50.1% | 52.2% | unusual (z 3.0) |
| Sebastian Aho | 20–24 | 45.5% | 53.0% | 52.4% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Dylan Strome | 19–24 | 44.2% | 50.1% | 49.7% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Ryan McLeod | 25–14 | 64.1% | 55.6% | 56.2% | a bit unusual (z 1.1) |
| Bo Horvat | 14–23 | 37.8% | 50.1% | 49.2% | a bit unusual (z -1.5) |
| Anton Lundell | 20–17 | 54.1% | 52.8% | 52.9% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Anthony Cirelli | 21–15 | 58.3% | 52.6% | 53.0% | normal luck (z 0.7) |
| Vincent Trocheck | 16–20 | 44.4% | 48.3% | 48.0% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Jake Evans | 22–12 | 64.7% | 50.2% | 51.2% | a bit unusual (z 1.7) |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 15–15 | 50.0% | 48.0% | 48.1% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Mika Zibanejad | 19–11 | 63.3% | 53.8% | 54.4% | a bit unusual (z 1.0) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs CAR | 6 | 12 | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | @ NJD | 7 | 13 | 53.8% |
| 2026-09-30 | vs PIT | 3 | 4 | 75.0% |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CAR | 10 | 15 | 66.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CAR | 7 | 14 | 50.0% |
| 2026-05-04 | @ CAR | 11 | 19 | 57.9% |
| 2026-05-02 | @ CAR | 8 | 11 | 72.7% |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PIT | 5 | 8 | 62.5% |
| 2026-04-27 | @ PIT | 4 | 4 | 100.0% |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 6 | 7 | 85.7% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-05 vs TBL likely opponents: Anthony Cirelli (59%), Brayden Point (59%)6.3 FOW 3–10
- 2026-10-08 vs OTT likely opponents: Claude Giroux (45%), Lars Eller (55%)5.9 FOW 2–9
- 2026-10-10 vs BOS likely opponents: Pavel Zacha (56%), Elias Lindholm (50%)5.8 FOW 2–9
- 2026-10-11 vs CAR likely opponents: Jordan Staal (52%), Sebastian Aho (57%)6.1 FOW 3–10
FAQ
What is Sean Couturier's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Sean Couturier's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Sean Couturier win tonight?
When Sean Couturier has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Sean Couturier better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.