Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fantilli vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92.
Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Fantilli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Fantilli's 1.6.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Fantilli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.2%, Hits 139, Scoring chances 52.6%.
Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Goals above expected −0.5, Luck Meter −15.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Fantilli 20–17.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fantilli
1.83
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fantilli | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fantilli 6G 2A, 21 SOG · Larkin 4G 2A, 30 SOG
Fantilli's offensive zone 9–8 · neutral 5–10 · Fantilli's defensive zone 3–2 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)
15:41 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Fantilli's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–24
- 36.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–1.6
- 23.5%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fantilli | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | CBJ 4–3 DET | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-12-04 | CBJ 6–5 DET | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-11-22 | CBJ 3–4 DET | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-01 | CBJ 5–3 DET | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-02-27 | CBJ 5–2 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-02 | CBJ 4–5 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-11-11 | CBJ 4–5 DET | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-16 | CBJ 0–4 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fantilli
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fantilli or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fantilli and Larkin done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 4–4. Fantilli had 8 points (6 goals) and Larkin had 6 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Fantilli or Larkin?
- Against each other, Fantilli has won 17 and Larkin 20 of their 37 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →