Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Alex DeBrincat

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; DeBrincat had 85 in 82 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; DeBrincat has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 2.0 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.6, Hits 127, Penalty minutes 58.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.20, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeDeBrincat
Goals (+2)0.830.94
Assists (+1)0.430.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.33
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs DeBrincat

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeDeBrincat
11Team record in 19 meetings8
11Points in those games15

Kempe 5G 6A, 46 SOG · DeBrincat 7G 8A, 51 SOG

1Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other1

Kempe blocked 1 of DeBrincat's shots; DeBrincat blocked 1 of Kempe's.

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

7:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
7–6
53.8%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
50.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Alex DeBrincat
DateScoreKempeDeBrincat
2026-01-27LAK 3–1 DET0G 1A 1S1G 0A 7S
2025-10-30LAK 3–4 DET0G 1A 6S1G 1A 1S
2025-01-27LAK 2–5 DET0G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2024-11-16LAK 4–1 DET2G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-13LAK 3–5 DET0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-01-04LAK 3–4 DET2G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-06LAK 5–2 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-27LAK 2–3 OTT0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S
2022-04-21LAK 4–1 CHI0G 2A 5S0G 1A 3S
2022-04-12LAK 5–2 CHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-24LAK 3–4 CHI0G 0A 3S1G 1A 5S
2019-11-02LAK 4–3 CHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeDeBrincat

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Alex DeBrincat in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; DeBrincat had 85 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Alex DeBrincat?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and DeBrincat done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 11–8. Kempe had 11 points (5 goals) and DeBrincat had 15 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →