Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Eeli Tolvanen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.
Adrian Kempe has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.5, Plus/minus +14, Top skating speed 23.7.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, Blocked shots 81, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.24.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.01
fantasy points per game
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.83 | 0.48 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.49 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs Tolvanen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 7G 4A, 47 SOG · Tolvanen 1G 4A, 30 SOG
Kempe blocked 0 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 1 of Kempe's.
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
21:49 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 28–18
- 60.9%
- Expected goals
- 2.0–0.7
- 75.2%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | Tolvanen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | LAK 5–3 SEA | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-04 | LAK 2–4 SEA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-23 | LAK 2–3 SEA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-12-10 | LAK 2–3 SEA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-04-15 | LAK 6–5 SEA | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-07 | LAK 1–2 SEA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-18 | LAK 2–4 SEA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-23 | LAK 2–1 SEA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-03 | LAK 5–2 SEA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-20 | LAK 1–2 SEA | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-16 | LAK 3–2 SEA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-01 | LAK 3–1 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COLOpp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Eeli Tolvanen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and Tolvanen done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 8–8. Kempe had 11 points (7 goals) and Tolvanen had 5 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →