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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left; Miller has 1 left. We project Kempe for 2.1 ESPN points to Miller's 1.8.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Goals above expected +4.5, Luck Meter +49.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 61.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.123, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Kempe 9–3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeMiller
Goals (+2)0.830.42
Assists (+1)0.430.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.20
Hits (+0.1)0.160.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeMiller
9Team record in 19 meetings10
10Points in those games22

Kempe 6G 4A, 49 SOG · Miller 8G 14A, 38 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other9

Kempe's offensive zone 2–5 · neutral 1–3 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–1 (2017-18 to 2023-24)

1Hits on each other2
2Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

7:06 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
8–5
61.5%
Expected goals
0.2–0.1
72.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and J.T. Miller
DateScoreKempeMiller
2026-01-20LAK 4–3 NYR1G 0A 4S2G 0A 7S
2025-03-25LAK 3–1 NYR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-01-16LAK 5–1 VAN1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-07LAK 2–4 VAN0G 0A 6S1G 0A 2S
2024-04-06LAK 6–3 VAN2G 1A 5S0G 1A 3S
2024-03-25LAK 3–2 VAN0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-04-10LAK 3–0 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-02LAK 4–1 VAN0G 1A 0S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-18LAK 2–3 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2022-11-18LAK 1–4 VAN0G 0A 6S0G 1A 1S
2022-04-28LAK 2–3 VAN1G 0A 7S0G 1A 3S
2021-12-30LAK 2–1 VAN0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.1 pts

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.8 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Miller done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 9–10. Kempe had 10 points (6 goals) and Miller had 22 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Miller?
Against each other, Kempe has won 3 and Miller 9 of their 12 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →