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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.93, Hardest shot 95.3, Goals above expected +4.5.

Barzal's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.02, Offensive-zone time 45.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.11

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeBarzal
Goals (+2)0.890.47
Assists (+1)0.460.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.23
Hits (+0.1)0.160.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeBarzal
7Team record in 12 meetings5
7Points in those games9

Kempe 5G 2A, 34 SOG · Barzal 2G 7A, 21 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other3

Kempe's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 2–1 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–1 (2017-18 to 2018-19)

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

7:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
14–5
73.7%
Expected goals
0.7–0.4
64.6%
Goals
3–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreKempeBarzal
2026-03-13LAK 3–2 NYI1G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2026-03-05LAK 5–3 NYI1G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-03-11LAK 3–0 NYI1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-09LAK 2–3 NYI1G 0A 5S0G 1A 1S
2022-02-26LAK 5–2 NYI0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2022-01-27LAK 3–2 NYI1G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2020-02-06LAK 3–5 NYI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-11-27LAK 4–1 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2019-02-02LAK 2–4 NYI0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2018-10-18LAK 2–7 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2017-12-16LAK 3–4 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2017-10-15LAK 3–2 NYI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Barzal done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 7–5. Kempe had 7 points (5 goals) and Barzal had 9 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Barzal?
Against each other, Kempe has won 4 and Barzal 3 of their 7 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →