Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.5, On-ice PDO 1027, Top skating speed 23.7.
Aho's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Faceoff win % 50.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.005.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.01
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.83 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 5G 4A, 33 SOG · Aho 8G 6A, 39 SOG
Kempe's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 1–1 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–1 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
7:06 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–8
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.6
- 44.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | LAK 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-10-18 | LAK 3–4 CAR | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-22 | LAK 7–2 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-01 | LAK 4–2 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-15 | LAK 5–2 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-10-14 | LAK 5–6 CAR | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-31 | LAK 4–5 CAR | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-12-03 | LAK 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2021-11-20 | LAK 4–5 CAR | 2G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2020-01-11 | LAK 0–2 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-10-15 | LAK 0–2 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2019-02-26 | LAK 1–6 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COLOpp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and Aho done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 4–10. Kempe had 9 points (5 goals) and Aho had 14 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Aho?
- Against each other, Kempe has won 2 and Aho 2 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →