Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left; Harley has 1 left. We project Kempe for 2.1 ESPN points to Harley's 1.9.
Adrian Kempe has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.5, Hardest shot 95.3, Luck Meter +49.
Harley's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Faceoffs won 0, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.30.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.01
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.83 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 1G 3A, 28 SOG · Harley 2G 5A, 22 SOG
Kempe blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 4 of Kempe's.
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
11:17 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–17
- 41.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.5
- 53.8%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | LAK 1–3 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-15 | LAK 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-23 | LAK 3–2 DAL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-28 | LAK 2–6 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-02-07 | LAK 5–4 DAL | 0G 1A 7S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-04 | LAK 3–2 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-16 | LAK 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-03-09 | LAK 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-16 | LAK 1–5 DAL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-02 | LAK 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.1 pts
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.9 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and Harley done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 3–7. Kempe had 4 points (1 goals) and Harley had 7 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →