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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 27 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 58, Top skating speed 23.7, Plus/minus +14.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Forecheck xG /60 0.28, High-danger chances 49.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.11

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.890.61
Assists (+1)0.460.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.20
Hits (+0.1)0.160.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeTarasenko
11Team record in 19 meetings8
13Points in those games17

Kempe 8G 5A, 54 SOG · Tarasenko 5G 12A, 53 SOG

1Hits on each other3

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

10:58 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
12–10
54.5%
Expected goals
0.6–0.3
64.1%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreKempeTarasenko
2026-01-05LAK 4–2 MIN1G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2026-01-03LAK 5–4 MIN1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-13LAK 3–4 MIN1G 1A 5S0G 2A 1S
2024-11-16LAK 4–1 DET2G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-02LAK 3–2 OTT0G 2A 7S0G 1A 1S
2023-02-26LAK 2–5 NYR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-31LAK 5–1 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-03LAK 3–2 STL1G 0A 5S0G 2A 3S
2021-10-25LAK 0–3 STL0G 0A 2S2G 0A 6S
2021-10-23LAK 3–7 STL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 5S
2021-03-17LAK 4–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2021-03-06LAK 4–3 STL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 27 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 11–8. Kempe had 13 points (8 goals) and Tarasenko had 17 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →