Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs J.T. Miller
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.
Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Plus/minus +8, Transition attempts /60 1.78.
Miller's biggest edges: Hits 123, Faceoffs won 547, High-danger chances 54.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.20
fantasy points per game
J.T. Miller
1.63
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 0.42 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Miller
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 4G 4A, 36 SOG · Miller 4G 10A, 40 SOG
DeBrincat's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–0 · DeBrincat's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2026-27)
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
17:49 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 25–14
- 64.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.8
- 50.0%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | Miller |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | DET 0–2 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-04-04 | DET 1–4 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-11-16 | DET 2–1 NYR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-07 | DET 1–4 NYR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-15 | DET 1–4 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-10 | DET 4–3 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 8S |
| 2023-03-11 | OTT 2–5 VAN | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-11-08 | OTT 4–6 VAN | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-01-31 | CHI 1–3 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-21 | CHI 1–0 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2021-10-21 | CHI 1–4 VAN | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2020-02-12 | CHI 0–3 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or J.T. Miller?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and Miller done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 6–12. DeBrincat had 8 points (4 goals) and Miller had 14 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrincat or Miller?
- Against each other, DeBrincat has won 1 and Miller 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →