Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs Justin Faulk
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Faulk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Faulk's 1.8.
Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Fenwick 53.8%, Plus/minus +8.
Faulk's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +6.5, Ascension score 52.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.20
fantasy points per game
Justin Faulk
1.81
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | Faulk |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.29 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.79 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Faulk
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 7G 5A, 53 SOG · Faulk 2G 9A, 44 SOG
DeBrincat blocked 3 of Faulk's shots; Faulk blocked 3 of DeBrincat's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
14:04 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–11
- 42.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.7
- 36.4%
- Goals
- 2–0
On the ice together
91:38 at 5-on-5 over 18 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 99–104
- 48.8%
- Expected goals
- 4.2–5.2
- 44.7%
- Goals
- 5–6
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | Faulk |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | DET 5–2 STL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-25 | DET 6–4 STL | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-04-01 | DET 1–2 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-23 | DET 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-12 | DET 6–4 STL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-02-19 | OTT 7–2 STL | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-01-16 | OTT 1–2 STL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-02-27 | CHI 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-02-12 | CHI 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-11-26 | CHI 3–2 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-10-30 | CHI 0–1 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2020-02-25 | CHI 5–6 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Justin Faulk
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Justin Faulk in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Justin Faulk's 1.81. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Faulk had 40 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Justin Faulk?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and Faulk done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 6–12. DeBrincat had 12 points (7 goals) and Faulk had 11 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →