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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Mikhail Sergachev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to DeBrincat's 2.3.

Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, On-ice PDO 1010, Plus/minus +8.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Top skating speed 23.8, Penalty minutes 44.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

Mikhail Sergachev

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatSergachev
Goals (+2)0.940.24
Assists (+1)0.500.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.21
Hits (+0.1)0.070.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.81

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Sergachev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatSergachev
5Team record in 23 meetings18
21Points in those games14

DeBrincat 12G 9A, 62 SOG · Sergachev 4G 10A, 37 SOG

3Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other2

DeBrincat blocked 0 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 2 of DeBrincat's.

On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)

9:11 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side

Shot attempts
12–6
66.7%
Expected goals
0.5–0.1
83.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and Mikhail Sergachev
DateScoreDeBrincatSergachev
2026-02-04DET 1–4 UTA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-17DET 1–4 UTA0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-24DET 5–1 UTA1G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-06DET 2–4 UTA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-14DET 6–4 TBL2G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-23OTT 7–2 TBL2G 1A 5S1G 0A 2S
2022-11-01OTT 3–4 TBL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2022-04-01CHI 2–5 TBL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-03-06CHI 3–6 TBL1G 1A 4S1G 2A 3S
2021-04-27CHI 4–7 TBL0G 1A 4S0G 2A 1S
2021-03-20CHI 1–4 TBL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2021-03-18CHI 2–4 TBL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatSergachev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Mikhail Sergachev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Sergachev done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 5–18. DeBrincat had 21 points (12 goals) and Sergachev had 14 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →