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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Morgan Rielly

Alex DeBrincatAlex DeBrincatRed Wings · Right wingvsMorgan RiellyMorgan RiellyMaple Leafs · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 2.0 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Plus/minus +8, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Expected goals 53.1%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.9, Ascension score 60, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatRielly
Goals (+2)0.940.25
Assists (+1)0.500.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.17
Hits (+0.1)0.070.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Alex DeBrincat and Morgan Rielly have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatRielly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to D
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →